Rate cut
U.S. Dollar Rebounds as Investors Await Clarity on Trump’s Policies
20.11.2024 The U.S. dollar rose from a one-week low on Wednesday, while the Japanese yen weakened, as investors shifted focus from geopolitical tensions to awaiting clarity on U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s policy direction. The dollar index gained 0.3%, reaching 106.42, after a brief slide, as traders recalibrated their expectations surrounding Trump’s economic policies. This recovery came after concerns over the Russia-Ukraine situation had momentarily increased market uncertainty.
Oil Prices Hold Steady Ahead of U.S. Inventory Data and Middle East Developments
17.10.2024 Oil prices remained largely unchanged on Thursday as investors awaited key U.S. oil inventory data and developments in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Additionally, market participants were looking for more clarity on China’s economic stimulus measures.
Gold Prices Pressured by Strong Dollar, Copper Extends Losses
15.10.2024 Gold prices dipped slightly in Asian trading on Tuesday, continuing recent declines as the strength of the U.S. dollar weighed on the precious metal. The dollar’s gains were driven by expectations of smaller interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which has pressured metal prices across the board.
Oil Steadies as U.S. Rate Cut Balances Weak China Demand
23.09.2024 Oil prices remained largely unchanged on Monday, balancing the effects of a recent U.S. interest rate cut and reduced U.S. crude supply due to Hurricane Francine against weaker demand from China.
Asian Markets Steady Ahead of Fed Rate Cut Decision
18.09.2024 Asian stocks remained largely unchanged on Wednesday as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision. With trading muted due to holidays in Hong Kong and South Korea, Chinese markets showed little movement upon reopening after a break.
Gold Prices Slip Slightly But Keep Record Highs in Sight Ahead of Inflation Data
10.09.2024 Gold prices dipped slightly in Asian trading on Tuesday but remained near recent highs as investors looked ahead to key U.S. inflation data, which could provide more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate plans.
Dollar Slumps as Traders Increase Bets on Larger US Rate Cuts
05.09.2024 The dollar slipped to a one-month low against the yen on Thursday, pressured by growing expectations of a sizable Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Weak U.S. economic data has fueled concerns about a slowdown, with traders now anticipating a possible 50 basis point rate reduction.
Gold Prices Muted as Fed Approaches; Copper Near 4-Month Low
30.07.2024 Gold prices saw a slight increase on Tuesday, stabilizing after a sharp drop in the previous session. This comes as traders remain cautious, favoring the dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve’s meeting and anticipated cues on interest rates.
Gold Prices Hover Around $2,400; Copper Hit by China Concerns
23.07.2024 Gold prices remained steady in Asian trading on Tuesday, staying near 11-day lows as traders await clarity on U.S. political developments and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting. Meanwhile, copper prices continued to decline due to ongoing economic uncertainties in China.
Oil Prices Rise on Larger-Than-Expected Draw in US Inventories
18.07.2024 Oil prices climbed in Asian trade, continuing a recent rebound driven by a larger-than-expected reduction in U.S. inventories, which increased expectations of tighter supplies and improving demand in the world’s largest fuel consumer.
Oil Prices Steady Amid Falling US Inventories and China Concerns
17.07.2024 Oil prices remained stable on Wednesday, balancing between a decline in U.S. oil stockpiles and signs of weakening demand in China. This stability comes a day after Brent crude hit a one-month low.
Gold Prices Near Record Highs Amid Rate Cut Bets
16.07.2024 Gold prices rose in Asian trading on Tuesday, approaching record highs as increased bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts from September boosted the yellow metal.
Gold Prices Advance as Dollar Weakens and Rate Cut Speculation Grows Ahead of CPI Data
11.07.2024 Gold prices saw an uptick in Asian trade on Thursday, bolstered by a weakening dollar and declining Treasury yields. Speculation over potential U.S. interest rate cuts ahead of crucial inflation data further supported the yellow metal.
Akcie: Už zase nafukujeme bubliny?
10.07.2024 V minulých výhledech jsme poukazovali na to, že se vzestup AI a léků proti obezitě vzpírá gravitačnímu zákonu světa financí a zvládá do značné míry kompenzovat nepříznivé vlivy vysokých úrokových sazeb. Proto jsme také nedoporučovali investovat do technologických akcií. Celý duben to vypadalo jako správná volba, protože trhy počítaly s tím, že americké sazby zůstanou delší dobu zvýšené. V květnu se ale všeobecný postoj k těmto akciím znovu změnil – předpokládaná poptávka po produktech Nvidie přesvědčila trhy, že bude boom umělé inteligence i americké ekonomiky pokračovat, a probudila v investorech zvířecího ducha.
BREAKING: SNB snižuje sazby o 25 bps; USDCHF roste 📈
20.06.2024 Švýcarsko, rozhodnutí SNB. Skutečnost: 1,25 %. Prognóza: 1.25%. Předchozí: 1.5%.
Dollar Strengthens Amid Euro Uncertainty
17.06.2024 The dollar maintained its strength on Monday, with the euro hovering near one-month lows amidst escalating political uncertainty in Europe. Investors awaited further economic data to gauge the U.S. economy’s resilience amidst global market tensions.
GBP/USD: tipy na obchodování během evropské seance dne 13. června pro začátečníky
13.06.2024 The price test of 1.2774 occurred at a time when the MACD indicator was far from the zero mark. However, I mentioned that I would act regardless of the indicator's readings since the entire calculation was based on a strong movement following the release of data. As a result, traders could gain over 80 pips if they bought the pound at 1.2774. The outcomes of the Federal Reserve meeting turned out to be quite hawkish: the FOMC revised its stance towards a less aggressive rate cut even though US inflation had decreased. This suggests a longer wait-and-see stance before we see the first signs of monetary policy easing in the US. In the medium term, all this will work in favor of the US dollar and work against the British pound.
Dollar Rebounds Amid Fed’s Rate Cut Reassurances
10.06.2024 The dollar regained ground on Friday, propelled by remarks from Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams, which tempered market expectations of imminent rate cuts. This resurgence followed a week marked by widespread dollar weakness triggered by updated interest rate projections and dovish comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
Dollar Stability Precedes Key Data and Bank of Canada Meeting
05.06.2024 On Wednesday, the dollar held firm as markets awaited crucial U.S. economic releases and the upcoming Bank of Canada policy meeting, which is anticipated to trigger a cycle of rate cuts among major economies.
Gold Prices Decline Amid Dollar Strength and Rate Uncertainty
30.05.2024 Gold prices experienced a downturn in Asian trading on Thursday, primarily influenced by the strength of the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, as investors awaited key economic indicators that could impact interest rate decisions.
Dollar Strengthens on Rising Yields and Improved Consumer Confidence
29.05.2024 On Tuesday, the dollar rallied, erasing earlier losses, as benchmark U.S. Treasury yields surged to a four-week high following disappointing auctions. This rebound was bolstered by unexpected improvements in U.S. consumer confidence data for May, breaking a streak of three consecutive monthly declines.
Gold Prices Dip as Attention Shifts to US Inflation Figures
28.05.2024 Gold prices experienced a slight decline on Tuesday as investors awaited crucial U.S. inflation data, which could provide insights into the Federal Reserve’s timeline for potential interest rate adjustments.
Oil Prices Stabilize Amid U.S. Interest Rate Speculation
27.05.2024 Oil prices remained largely unchanged on Monday, showing marginal gains in subdued trading due to public holidays in both Britain and the United States. The market had experienced a downbeat week primarily influenced by the outlook for U.S. interest rates amidst persistent inflationary pressures.
Oil Edges Up Amid Israel Strikes on Gaza, Ongoing Truce Talks
07.05.2024 Oil prices edged up on Tuesday following Israeli airstrikes on Rafah in Gaza, with ceasefire negotiations in limbo. This maintained the market’s support amid heightened tensions in the Middle East and concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies.
Gold prices steady below $2,400; Rate fears, dollar pressure persist
18.04.2024 Gold prices rebounded from overnight losses in Asian trading on Thursday but stayed below recent highs due to concerns about higher interest rates persisting and pressure from a robust dollar.
Gold prices fell below $2,400 as expectations for interest rate cuts diminished
17.04.2024 Gold prices dipped in Asian trading on Wednesday as comments from key Federal Reserve officials tilted towards a more hawkish stance, lifting the dollar and Treasury yields, thereby exerting downward pressure on the precious metal.
Gold Glows to Record High as Safe-Haven Demand Trumps Dollar Surge
02.04.2024 On Monday, gold prices reached an all-time high, buoyed by persistent demand for safe-haven assets. Despite a rise in the dollar following indications of robust U.S. economic performance, gold remained resilient, indicating diminished expectations for an early interest rate cut.
Asia FX dips as dollar hits 3-week high post-SNB rate cut
22.03.2024 Most Asian currencies experienced sharp declines on Friday, as a rebound in the dollar gained momentum following an unexpected interest rate cut by the Swiss National Bank. This move prompted currency traders to shift their focus towards the greenback, leading to downward pressure on Asian currencies.
Gold prices soar to unprecedented highs surpassing $2200 amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut
21.03.2024 Gold prices reached a historic peak in Asian trading on Thursday, following a significant decline in the dollar subsequent to the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates unchanged and indicate potential rate cuts later in the year.
Gold prices dip below $2,150 ahead of Fed meeting; copper rally eases
18.03.2024 Gold prices declined in Asian trading on Monday, breaching a crucial support level as traders shied away from non-yielding assets ahead of further signals on interest rates from a Federal Reserve meeting later in the week.
Oil prices climb as markets await OPEC+ decision amidst mixed demand drivers
01.03.2024 Oil prices edged higher on Friday and were on track to close the week with slight gains as markets anticipated an OPEC+ decision on supply agreements for the second quarter. Mixed demand indicators from major consumers like the U.S. and China added to the uncertainty.
Markets brace for US inflation, yen strengthens on BOJ remarks
29.02.2024 The dollar moved towards monthly gains on Thursday amid European inflation data releases and ahead of anticipated U.S. economic indicators. Concurrently, the yen recovered slightly as a policymaker hinted at the possibility of exiting ultra-easy policies.
The dollar begins a heavy week of data with a slight dip.
27.02.2024 The dollar edged lower on Monday ahead of key U.S. durable goods orders and inflation data, offering insights into the Federal Reserve’s potential interest rate cuts.
Dollar holds steady ahead of inflation-heavy data
26.02.2024 The dollar remained relatively stable on Monday as investors braced for a data-heavy week, highlighted by a key U.S. inflation report that could provide insights into the global interest
Gold prices stay rangebound as rate cut hopes fade
23.02.2024 Gold prices were stable in Asian trading on Friday, remaining within a recently established range, as market sentiment increasingly suggests that the Federal Reserve won’t initiate interest rate cuts early in 2024.
Gold Quiet, Copper Dips on Zambia Find
12.02.2024 In holiday-thinned Asian trade on Monday, gold prices showed minimal movement, maintaining a trading range set over the past week as traders awaited upcoming U.S. inflation data for further cues.
Dollar rises versus euro ahead of Fed meeting
30.01.2024 On Monday, the dollar strengthened against the euro as investors braced for the possibility that the Federal Reserve might resist expectations of an immediate rate cut at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on Wednesday.
Asia FX Stable, Dollar Firm Amid Rate-Cut Uncertainty; Yen Gains on BOJ Signals
24.01.2024 Asian currencies remained within a narrow range on Wednesday, while the dollar stabilized near six-week highs, with markets eagerly awaiting further signals on the potential timeline for the Federal Reserve to initiate interest rate cuts.
Gold Prices Rise Amid Economic Uncertainty; Copper Surges on China Optimism
23.01.2024 Gold prices advanced, following mild dollar weakness, ahead of key U.S. economic data, but gains were tempered by expectations of higher-for-longer interest rates.
Gold Prices Dip Amid Expectations of Prolonged Higher Interest Rates
22.01.2024 Gold prices declined in Asian trade on Monday due to rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for an extended period. However, some safe-haven demand and short-term dollar weakness helped support the yellow metal above key levels.
The dollar rose for a fifth session on strong labor data
19.01.2024 The dollar index extended gains for a fifth consecutive session on Thursday following labor market data indicating job growth, thereby maintaining expectations for an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in check.
📊 US500 je před CPI v bočním trendu
11.01.2024 Zpráva o inflaci CPI v USA za prosinec má být zveřejněna dnes ve 13:30 GMT. Očekává se, že zpráva ukáže zvýšení celkové inflace CPI i pokles základního ukazatele. Načasování prvního snížení sazeb FOMC je stále otevřenou otázkou a dnešní čtení může investorům pomoci najít odpověď.
Gold Prices Hold Steady Ahead of Inflation Data
09.01.2024 Gold prices in Asian trade on Tuesday saw a modest increase, rebounding from a challenging start to the year, as market sentiment shifted on expectations of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, ahead of pivotal U.S. inflation data later this week.
Dollar weakens, euro hits highest since August in light holiday trade
28.12.2023 The dollar declined on Tuesday, propelling the euro to its highest level in over four months. Investors are keenly observing the Federal Reserve for signals on potential interest rate cuts, especially with inflation nearing the central bank’s 2% annual goal.
Gold prices remain stable as markets assess 2024 rate
21.12.2023 Gold prices remained stable in Asian trade on Thursday, maintaining a consistent range as investors pondered the timing of potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
Gold prices stay above $2,000 amid Fed rate cut expectations
20.12.2023 Gold prices remained steady on Wednesday, maintaining a trading range set over the past week due to ongoing expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sooner in 2024.
Gold surges above $2,000 as Fed hints at rate cuts in 2024
14.12.2023 Gold prices surged in Asian trade on Thursday, building on gains from the previous session following the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it has concluded interest rate hikes and anticipates lower borrowing costs in 2024.
Gold slipped below $2,000 as early Fed rate cut expectations faded
11.12.2023 Gold prices slid below crucial levels in Asian trade on Monday as robust labor market data prompted traders to reassess expectations that the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates sooner in 2024.
Gold steadies ahead of US labor data and rate cut expectations
07.12.2023 Gold prices remained relatively stable in Asian trade on Thursday, as traders awaited further indications regarding the U.S. labor market’s status and information on the Federal Reserve’s timeline for initiating interest rate cuts.
Gold steadies above $2,000 after volatile record highs
05.12.2023 Gold prices inched up in Asian trade on Tuesday, stabilizing after reaching record highs earlier in the week. Persistent expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve and increased safe-haven demand contributed to the support for the yellow metal.
Gold and silver prices climb as the dollar weakens ahead of Fed minutes
21.11.2023 Gold and silver prices have surged significantly amid a weakening US dollar and in anticipation of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes.
Gold prices reach nearly a three-week peak as the dollar and yields decline
29.08.2023 On Tuesday, gold prices hit a near three-week high after the dollar and Treasury yields weakened; meanwhile, markets are awaiting a slew of key U.S. economic data due to be released at the end of this week.
Oil rises as China takes steps to support its economy
28.08.2023 Oil prices edged up on Monday as China implemented measures to boost its slowing economy. However, concerns about the growth rate and potential U.S. interest rate increases, which might impact fuel demand, still linger among investors.
Gold prices rise, copper steady after China rate cut
21.08.2023 Gold prices rose slightly on Monday, steadying after recent losses, as markets awaited further cues on U.S. monetary policy. Copper prices remained flat after a Chinese interest rate cut fell short of expectations.
Dollar near one-month high, yuan up after rate cut
15.08.2023 The US dollar weakened in early European trade on Tuesday, lingering near recent highs, while the Chinese yuan experienced volatility following an unexpected rate cut by the country’s central bank.
Gold prices rise as dollar falls after Fed rate hike
27.07.2023 Gold prices rose on Thursday after reacting positively to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike in the previo...
Gold faces weekly losses, copper falls on rate hike fears
23.06.2023 Gold prices slipped on Friday, heading for their worst week since January, while copper prices retreated due to concerns over tighter monetary conditions following a significant rate hike by the Bank of England and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve.
Asian currencies weakened as state banks cut rates, causing the yuan to hit a six-month low.
08.06.2023 Asian currencies edged lower on Thursday amid concerns about rising interest rates and global economic slowdown, while the dollar held near an 11-week high ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.
Dollar hits 6-month high
23.05.2023 The U.S. dollar touched a 6-month high against the yen on Tuesday, as expectations grew that U.S. rates would continue to be higher and as the debt ceiling impasse kept risk sentiment fragile.
Record gold price after Federal Reserve signals possible pause: What does it mean for the market?
04.05.2023 The gold price extended its recent gains on Thursday, briefly touching a record high after the Fed raised interest rates but signaled a tougher approach to further rate hikes during deteriorating economic conditions.
Dollar starts to weaken ahead of US GDP release
27.04.2023 The US dollar weakened in early European trading on Thursday on fears of bank contagion risk, a slowing economy, and the debt ceiling impasse.
Fed stimuluje méně, než trh čekal
02.08.2019 Ve středu FED snížil hlavní úrokové sazby o 25 bodů - konkrétně z pásma 2.25-2.5 procenta na 2.00-2.25 procenta. Jde o první snížení od prosince 2008. Trhy i navzdory pozitivnímu impulzu ze strany centrální banky během tohoto obchodního dne klesaly. Trh zřejmě očekával větší uvolňování měnové politiky a zmíněný “rate cut” o 25 bodů byl už v ceně akcií započítaný.
ECB: nové kvantitativní uvolňování je naspadnutí
29.07.2019 Jednání guvernérů o úrokových sazbách ničím nepřekvapilo. Úroková sazba pro hlavní refinanční operace zůstává na nezměněné nulové úrovni a ostatní úrokové sazby pro jednodenní refinanční a jednodenní sterilizační operace se také nezmění. V posledních dnech pravděpodobnost snižování sazeb (rate cut) narůstala, díky čemuž oslabovalo euro a německý akciový index DAX rostl.
Co může podpořit trhy k dalšímu růstu?
22.07.2019 V tomto článku bych se chtěl zaměřit na možnost, zda-li ještě trh disponuje silou, aby dále rostl. Jedná se však o subjektivní pohled, který je málo pravděpodobný, nicméně není nereálný. Pokud si myslíme, že akciový trh nemůže dále růst i při novém vrcholu, pokusím se nastínit pár důvodů, proč by i při nynějších číslech mohl růst. Na druhou stranu se na trhu vyskytují i další rizika, které mu nemusí dát šanci.
Růst zaměstnanosti v USA poslal akcie dolů
09.07.2019 Ostře sledovanou událostí na konci července byl summit G20. Na trhu stále panuje optimismus po setkání americké a čínské diplomacie a vytvoření částečné obchodní dohody. Od tohoto data (28.-29. červen) index S&P 500 dosáhl opět nových maxim na 3000 USD a Shanghai Composite Index narostl téměř o tři procenta na úroveň 3048 CNY. I přes tyto pozitivní zprávy ale netrvalo dlouho a akciový index Shanghai Composite Index se v pondělí propadl o více než 2,5 procenta. Menší pokles můžeme vidět i v USA, či na evropských indexech. Což není nic nezvyklého po předcházející rally směrem vzhůru.
Makro: Postoj BOE se v březnu nezměnil, nejistota s blížícím se referendem roste
18.03.2016 Výbor pro měnovou politiku hlasoval za zasedání 16. března o úrokových sazbách a o program nákupu finančních aktiv jed...
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