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Oil Rises After Supply Disruptions in Iran and Russia

04.05.2023 11:00  Autor: InvestCentrum  Sekce: Burzovní zpravodajství  Tisk

Oil prices rose in early Asian trading Thursday, trying to end a 3-day losing spree amid supply disruptions in Iran and Russia, though fears of weakening economic growth and demand kept sentiment weak.

Brent crude climbed to $73.03 and US WTI crude to $69.06. Both contracts traded 8-11% lower for the week, very close to the lowest level since December 2021.

Data suggests that the Strait of Hormuz facilitates about 1/5 of global oil supply, with any worsening tensions in the region posing a major supply disruption.

The drone strike in Russia, which the Kremlin described as a Ukrainian assassination attempt on Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, also represented a potential escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war after Moscow said it had the right to retaliate.

Any escalation of military tensions between the two countries could disrupt Russia’s oil supply, and that presents a similar scenario to what we saw at the start of the war last year. Following the Russian invasion, oil prices soared to near record highs.

In May, global oil supplies will be curtailed as OPEC production cuts begin to take effect. Oil inventories in the United States are still falling, albeit at a slowing pace. But an unexpected increase in gasoline inventories suggested that demand at the pump is weak amid deteriorating economic conditions in the country.

Its prices have fallen in recent weeks on fears of slowing economic growth, a view helped by a raft of weak global manufacturing data. Markets fear that slowing growth could somewhat dampen a potential recovery in demand this year.

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