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Oil rises after US officials reach a debt agreement

29.05.2023 15:13  Autor: InvestCentrum  Sekce: Burzovní zpravodajství  Tisk

Oil prices rose on Monday after US leaders reached a tentative agreement on the debt ceiling. It could avert a default by the world’s biggest economy and oil consumer, even as fears of further interest rate rises curbed gains.

Brent crude futures were up 0.6%, at $77.40 a barrel, while U.S. WTI crude was at $73.2 a barrel, a 0.7% rise. Trade is expected to be subdued on Monday due to holidays in the UK and US.

Joe Biden, the US President, and Kevin McCarthy, Speaker of the House of Representatives, struck a deal over the weekend to suspend the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and limit government spending for the next 2 years. Both parties expressed confidence that supporters of the agreement would come from both the Democratic and Republican parties.

Reaching a deal to get closer to avoiding a default on U.S. debt has renewed investor appetite for riskier assets, such as commodities.

Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider, said, „We have a chance to see further gains as a relief rally gets underway in the broader financial markets after the lengthy Memorial Day weekend in the US“.

Both Brent crude and US WTI crude have gained more than 1% in the past week.

Oil prices rose as talks on the US debt ceiling showed progress and after Abdulaziz bin Salman, the Saudi energy minister, warned short sellers betting on a fall in oil prices to be prepared for pain.

The warning was seen as a signal that OPEC+, may continue to cut production at its June 4 meeting.

But comments from oil officials and sources in Russia, including Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, make it clear that the world’s 3rd largest oil producer is leaning toward leaving production unchanged.

The sustainability of the rally is questionable as there is a higher chance that the US Fed will raise interest rates in June when their preferred inflation metric rises more than projected for April.

This week, investors will be watching manufacturing and services data in China, the world’s largest oil importer, as well as Friday’s US non-farm payrolls data for signals on economic growth and oil demand.

Future oil production growth in the U.S., the world’s largest producer, could also slow as energy firms cut back drilling rigs for a 4th week. The number of operating oil rigs fell to 570 last week – the lowest level since May 2022.

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