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Oil Prices Struggle Near Three-Month Lows Amid Mounting Demand Worries.

08.11.2023 11:47  Autor: InvestCentrum  Sekce: Burzovní zpravodajství  Tisk

On Wednesday, oil prices faced challenges, having dropped to their lowest point in more than three months during the previous session. The decline was influenced by worries surrounding reduced demand in major oil-consuming nations, particularly the United States and China.

By 0636 GMT, Brent crude futures saw an increase of 15 cents, reaching $81.76 a barrel, while U.S. crude futures experienced a slight dip of 2 cents, settling at $77.35 a barrel. Both had dropped to their lowest levels since July 24 on the preceding Tuesday.

“The market is clearly less concerned about the potential for Middle Eastern supply disruptions and is instead focused on an easing in the balance,” noted analysts at ING Bank, Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey, in a note to clients, referring to the easing of oil supply constraints.

According to market sources referencing the data from the American Petroleum Institute, U.S. crude oil stocks rose by approximately 12 million barrels in the preceding week.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has postponed the publication of weekly inventory data, rescheduling it for the week starting on November 13th.

The EIA announced on Tuesday that crude oil production in the United States for this year will increase by a slightly lower margin than previously anticipated, while demand is expected to decrease.

The EIA has revised its projection, anticipating a 300,000 bpd decline in total petroleum consumption in the United States for this year, a reversal from its previous forecast of a 100,000 bpd increase.

The agency predicted that Venezuela’s crude oil production will experience a moderate increase of less than 200,000 barrels per day (bpd), reaching an average of 900,000 bpd by the conclusion of 2024, attributed to the relaxation of U.S. sanctions.

In addition to moderating concerns about supply tightness, analysts at Goldman Sachs projected that six OPEC countries, having collectively implemented production cuts totaling 2 million barrels-per-day (bpd) since April 2023, are currently exporting only 0.6 million bpd less than the levels observed in April.

Recent data from China, the largest global importer of crude oil, has generated uncertainties regarding the demand outlook.

China’s robust growth in crude oil imports during October was contrasted by a sharper-than-expected contraction in the country’s total exports of goods and services, intensifying concerns about a potential decline in global demand.

Oil prices faced increased pressure due to a modest rebound in the U.S. dollar from its recent lows, leading to higher costs for holders of other currencies.

Despite economic challenges such as high inflation and interest rates, the oil producing group OPEC remains optimistic, anticipating global economic growth to propel fuel demand.

China’s central bank governor announced on Wednesday that the country is poised to meet its annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth target this year. Beijing had established an economic growth goal of approximately 5% for the current year.

 

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