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Oil prices rise amid rate hike concerns and worries over China’s economic slowdown

23.08.2023 15:50  Autor: InvestCentrum  Sekce: Burzovní zpravodajství  Tisk

Oil prices edged higher in Asian trading on Wednesday, as traders considered subdued demand signals from China, the leading importer, along with the possibility of additional U.S. interest rate increases, juxtaposed with potential supply constraints.

Brent crude advanced by 15 cents, or 0.2%, to reach $84.18 per barrel around 0600 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude stood at $79.81 a barrel, marking a 17-cent increase or 0.2%.

Both benchmark oil prices experienced a decline of around 0.5% on Tuesday.

Investors are eagerly awaiting signals about the future of interest rates as Federal Reserve officials and policymakers from the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan gather for their annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, later this week.

“Investors are reluctant to take big positions ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium as they want to find clues for the next step by the U.S. Federal Reserve,” remarked President of NS Trading, a subsidiary of Nissan Securities, Hiroyuki Kikukawa.

“Concerns over higher interest rates and sluggish demand in China are expected to outweigh tightening supply from OPEC+ in the short term.”

China, the world’s second-largest economy, holds significant importance in supporting oil demand throughout the remaining year. However, its sluggish growth has left markets disappointed, as the anticipated stimulus has not met expectations. This sentiment was compounded by a lesser-than-expected reduction in a vital lending benchmark on Monday.

In terms of supply, Saudi Arabia has offered to further reduce its output by 1 million barrels per day (bpd) from July to September. Similarly, Russia intends to decrease its exports by 500,000 bpd in August.

Indeed, these actions are part of an agreement within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, to limit oil supplies with the aim of bolstering oil prices.

Crude oil inventories in the United States decreased by approximately 2.4 million barrels during the week ending on August 18, as reported by market sources referring to figures from the American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday. This drawdown was slightly smaller than the expected decline of 2.9 million barrels anticipated by analysts in a Reuters poll.

“Following the massive draw of 6.2 million barrels a week earlier, overall supplies conditions still lean on the tighter end,” a market strategist at IG in Singapore, Jun Rong Yeap, reiterated this sentiment.

The Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the U.S. energy department, is set to release its weekly report at 1430 GMT on Wednesday.

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