USD/JPY

A neudělalo ti to XTB naschvál. U AM je minimum 75.57 u XTB 75.54

U Dukase je minimum na JPY 75,58 dle jejich aplikace mobile, 75,558 dle grafu, ale je tam +/ - ještě spread. U polských přátel jsem měl malé pozice a stopky hlůůůboko dole, ale to jen ze setrvačnosti, že tam mám z pravěku účet . Psal jsem o nich vícekrát, ale je to marný, je to marný, je to marný, ale to ostatně záleží na vkusu každého soudruha :-))

Mě právě od další pozice na těch 75,60 odradilo to že jak se včera otevřelo bylo low na Fxstreet.com až na 75,28 a měl jsem bobky, že tam ještě ťuknem jinak pravda chyba kdybych taky raději spal tak jsem měl TP tak jsem se připravil o nadílku navíc no i tak to při pondělním ránu potěší 

Ano, na mezibankovním trhu se v neděli obchodovalo pod 75,35, což jsem si liboval, že dojdem na 75,- . Takhle je zapomenutý 1 buy na 75,80 - ale lepší než drátem do oka,že. pet

Ahoj pete.. promin, bylo to eurjpy.. tak to jsem mel vic stesti nez rozumu.. mel jsem zato, ze vstupuju podle usdjpy a gbpusd a sel jsem short.. nejak jsem se ale asi uklepl a situaci jsem namisto gbpjpy naplanoval na eurjpy.. no potez hodiny.. jeste ze to dobre dopadlo.. M1 po ranu asi neni uplne idealni situace..

Intervention success doubtful, Morgan Stanley says, although the bank expects near-term support for the pair. Morgan Stanley says the target on the bank's long USD/JPY position has been achieved, and it is now awaiting a correction from this morning's sharp gains before establishing another short-term bullish position. Bank notes, however, in the medium term it expects flows to support yen appreciation. USD/JPY is at 78.12. (eva.szalay@dowjones.com)

Market talk that the BoJ pulled its bids in USD/JPY at the 78.80/90 levels - Unconfirmed

Jo na druhy pokus to dnes vyslo. Nakup na 75,70 rucne a cela pozicia na TP 77,72 hlavny aj vedlajsi ucet o peknych cca10% narastol :))

Jak zistim aky bol v momente intervencie spread a mojho brokera? Ide to nejak v MT4,kedze som cital dnesny blog ze to niekoho vdaka obrovskemu spreadu vykoplo na SL.

 

 

čau někde jsem ho tu už dával spread detective je to indi zaznamená nejmenší a největší spread  přepnutí TF nuluje ,ale na noc je to dobré pokud máš puštěné MT4 já jo 

-- Japan intervenes in foreign exchange market for first time since Aug. 4

-- Dealers say total yen selling an estimated Y7 trillion during the Asian day, a record amount

-- Dollar rises as much as 5% but later falls back

-- Finance minister says Japan acted alone

-- European official expresses concern over move

TOKYO -- The Japanese government launched a fresh round of foreign exchange intervention Monday, spending an estimated Y7 trillion to cap a rise in the yen that has undermined the economy and dragged down the key export sector.

"I have said time and again that we will take decisive steps against speculative movement in the market, but unfortunately we have seen the continuance of one-sided speculative movement that doesn't reflect our country's real economy at all," Finance Minister Jun Azumi said at a press conference some 20 minutes after the yen-selling intervention began mid-morning.

Azumi said the intervention was undertaken by Japan alone. He would not comment on amounts, but dealers said the selling through the day likely totalled Y7 trillion, a record amount for one day's intervention.

The intervention pushed the dollar as much as 5% higher to Y79.55 from around Y75.65 before the move. The dollar later pulled back, however and as of 1038 GMT was back at Y77.92.

The trend was similar against the euro, which initially rose to Y111.24 from Y107.12 and then fell back to Y109.10. Azumi indicated that the authorities had not actually purchased euros, matching the pattern in the recent interventions since September 2010.

The intervention came after the dollar fell to a post-World War II record low of Y75.31 in early Asian trading.

Azumi said that the intervention would continue until he was satisfied, although other government officials said privately that the intervention would be for a limited duration. A Ministry of Finance official said in the evening that it was too early to say that the intervention was over and added that Tokyo did not have a specific level for the dollar-yen rate in mind.

The intervention came on the last day of the month, helping exporters looking to repatriate overseas earnings before closing their books.

Japan's flagship auto and technology companies, already hit this year by massive supply chain disruption from the March 11 earthquake and tsunami, have seen the profitability of goods exported from their domestic manufacturing operations seriously undercut by the yen's sharp appreciation.

That has driven companies such as Toyota Motor Corp. (7203.TO) and Sony Corp. (6758.TO) to step up the hunt for overseas production facilities, while grappling with the need to maintain a domestic base. At the same time, revenue from goods sold in key markets like the U.S. and Europe now translates back into much less in yen terms.

Citing the strength of the yen, global market uncertainty and also the impact of extreme floods on cheaper manufacturing operations in Thailand, companies including consumer electronics supplier Sharp Corp. (6753.TO) and Mitsubishi Motors Corp. (7211.TO) have already lowered some key revenue and operating profit targets.

It is unclear whether this latest intervention will be able to reverse the yen's rise, given the short-term impact of the last one, although Some analysts said a desire to undercut speculators rather than to permanently change the yen's strength was behind Monday's action.

Monday's intervention was met with a less than warm response from the European Central Bank. Executive board member Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo said that unilateral interventions have negative effects on global stability and that multilateral interventions are more effective as a rule.

However, Bank of Japan Gov. Masaaki Shirakawa laid some of the problems back at Europe's door.

"It can be said that the recent appreciation of the yen is one example of the spillover effect of the sovereign debt problem in Europe into Japan through increasing risk aversion by global investors," he said.

The BOJ agreed at its latest policy board meeting Thursday to expand its asset-buying fund by Y5 trillion to Y55 trillion through the additional purchase of Japanese government bonds. the move puts more downward pressure on the yen since it increases the supply of yen.

Japan's actions will likely come up at this week's meeting of leaders of the Group of 20 industrialized and emerging economies in Cannes, France. The U.S. and other countries are expected to pressure China to allow greater flexibility in the value of the yuan, an effort that could be undercut if Japan is perceived to be regulating its own currency.

The Japanese government spent Y4.5 trillion, about $59 billion at current rates, in the August intervention to try to push the dollar up, the country's biggest single-day action ever.

Monday's action was the fourth time in slightly over a year that Japan has intervened to cap the yen. It followed a one-day move last September, joint intervention with other Group of Seven nations after the quake in March, and the August intervention.

-By Takashi Mochizuki and Takashi Nakamichi, Dow Jones Newswires; +81-3-6269-2782; takashi.mochizuki@dowjones.com

Tady máš PETe jak správně intervenovat :-D

Blahopreji k peknemu startu obchodu !

Dal nekdo na me "doporuceni" v blogu a shorti USDJPY se mnou?

Zdravíčko. To já bych teda radši shortoval japko než doláč. :) Mám buy čekačku na 81.126, ale taky sell na 80.755.

Longů v Position Ratios ubývá, takže já myslím hore. Možná ještě jednou dolů, pak odraz bude silnější.

Má někdo podobný názor? :)

Dnes som pribral dalsie shorty na tomto pare a pevne verim, ze hranica 79,30 bude prelomena. Stopky posunute do pasma 80,60/90 tak snad to ustojim. Moj ciel pre najblizsie mesiace je niekde na 76,00. Uvidime ako to vsetko dopadne. Japonec sa zda byt lukrativna mena .

Pouze zdánlivě nesouvisející korelace, opravdu zdánlivě. Pokud chcete znát vývoj na JPY, první kroky by měly směřovat v vyhledání průběžného grafu výnosu 10 Y USA bondu, např. zde - http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USGG10YR:IND. Můžeme se dohadovat o smyslu sledování pro FA a TA na JPY, ale realita je prostě taková - pokles výnosu USA bondu = posílení JPY(UJPY down) a opačně.

Výnosy amerických 10-ročných dlhopisov na historických dnách: V priloženom grafe vidíme 112-ročný graf v ktorom vidíme, že výnos (aktuálne 1.72%) je najnižším v histórii, keď poklesol i pod minimá z čias druhej svetovej vojny, 2%. Samotný výnos je už 26 rokov v klesajúcom trende. Maximá boli dosiahnuté na jeseň 1981, tesne pod 16%. Otázka neznie, či sa výnosy odrazia nahor, ale kedy. Pretože od týchto úrovni existuje oveľa väčší priestor na rast ako na ďalší pokles. Stačí, aby ustal prílev kapitálu vo forme úspor z rozvojových krajín, kde sú stále zvyknutí viac šetriť ako míňať. (Zdroj: Reuters)

Jaký dopad bude mít přemostění dolaru?
https://www.fxstreet.cz/japonsko-a-cina-zahaji-obchodovani-s-menami.html

Dá se očekávat posílování dolaru vůči japonskému jenu?