USD/JPY

Mno co jsem ze sveho amaterskeho pohledu pochytil melo by mozno prave tou expiraci umoznit mit SL ktery se ve skutecnosti prave nejakou funkci te opce, tim casem, maturaci snizuje. Ale je to pro me tak komplexni, ze pokud mi vylozene nekdo neprijde predlozit celou problematiku a backtesty budu se drzet moudra Larryho Williamse a to ze pro nej jsou opce prilis matematicky komplexni a opcni obchodnici maji skoro stejne vysledky jako on :D Sampionat vyhral, zatim jej nikdo verejne v % neprekonal pokud je mi znamo.

Tak co pak se to děje.

Žeby japonská NB intervenovala ?

Díky Jiri11

Jak to vydíte na prodej USD/JPY, nebo to půjde ještě stále na horu ?

Jiri11

Sledoval som JPY a cakal na sell. UJ,EJ.GJ,AJ sa vytvorili prekne sviecky na H4 do sellu. Vybral som si AJ.

Click on graph to enlarge

The chart activity in Asia is different with government intervention. The weekly Dollar-Yen chart shows a clear direction. Despite a sideways drift above the long-term downtrend line, the price is again falling towards the downtrend line, using it as a sliding support level.

Well-established support near 80 yen has been broken. The yen trades in broad trading ranges and the width of these ranges is used to set the upside and downside targets. Failure of support near 80 yen has a downside target near 73 yen. Persistent Government intervention can slow the progress towards this target but it may not be enough to prevent this target being achieved. Unlike the European crosses, this Yen cross shows a clear direction and target objective.

Realita na UJPY je jasná - září na jendovi je skoro vždy short - někdy se nechá i z reklamního materiálu cosi vyzobnout -

FXL - Seasonal patterns: USD/JPY - Written by Gerry Davies, September 19, 2011 at 05:47 GMT

If you’ve paid much attention to the stock market of late, you’ve probably heard on multiple occasions how September is a seasonally bad month for stocks. What you may not have realized, though, is that there are seasonal or calendar patterns in the forex market as well. At this time of year the most interesting is probably the one in USD/JPY as the chart of the annual seasonal pattern indicates (courtesy of Opportunities in Forex Calendar Trading Patterns).

We are currently in week 37 of the year, right at the lowest point on the graph in terms of performance looking forward 1 month. USD/JPY doesn’t get into positive territory again until the latter part of November.

Of course you wouldn’t want to rely totally on seasonal patterns. They are a tendency, not a sure thing. That makes them good for providing a bias which can then support other types of analysis, or in picking the right pair to trade. For example, if you want to play the USD from the long side or JPY from the short side it might be best to do so in a pair where the seasonals aren’t working quite so significantly against you.

Pete moc tomu textu nerozumim. Muzes to vice rezebrat cesky?

a aby toho nebylo málo - 0915 GMT [Dow Jones] MIG Bank favors long EUR/JPY positions at 102.20, looking for 103.50, 105.00 and then 106.80, with a protective stop at 101.80. EUR/JPY is now at 102.54, from the day's low of 102.23.

Mig bank preferuje vstup na long u E/J s target na 103.50, 105.00 and then 106.80.

Tak si vyber. Pet

Žebychom se v noci dočkali intervence BOJ? Nemáte někdo v Japonsku známé? Třeba to už budou vědět

Ja mam nakupene na 75.85

 

Ja mam nakupene na 75.85

 

ještě máš pořád koupeno ?

nene 1TP 30pips, ostatne na BE.

 

Asi se kopnu do .... no do řiti . Buy , který držím už týden od 75.89 se mi ukončil na SL na 75.55 ...což bylo minimum a pak up .... fakt se nakopu do ....  

...gratulace ....

naštěstí jsem to zaspal, proto mi to většinou došlo na TP okolo 79, ty co byly na TP 80 jsem teda už pozavíral  teď růčo, dál se asi rychle nepohnem. Jde o komentáře, jestli třeba nehodlají fixovat JPY jako Švýcaři CHF, možné je všechno, jinak stejně bude zase tlak dole, ale od 76 bych se znova svezl :-)).

Podle pravidel MM resp. obchod. psychologie bych teď neměl měsíc nebo kolik obchodovat.... :-))

Pospa