EUR/USD

Jsem zvědavý, jak dlouho bude trhu trvat než ten včerejší pohyb celý vrátí.

Neviem, moc by som na pohyb nahor nespoliehal, Ichimoku ma uz potvrdeny down trend na D1tke. Samozrejme ku korekcii moze prist ale cely pohyb si myslim nevymazeme.

Nieco z FOMC

Investors drove the U.S. dollar sharply higher on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve signalled an earlier interest rate hike. Thirteen out of 18 policy-makers now see as many as two rate hikes by the end of 2023. In March, only seven members saw a move in 2023, with the majority looking for rates to remain unchanged into 2024. This dramatic shift in expectations was motivated by stronger-than-expected growth and inflation. The improvements in the U.S. economy have clearly convinced policy-makers that “inflation could turn out to be higher and more persistent than we expect,” according to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Growth and inflation forecasts were raised for 2021 and 2023. The most dramatic change was in their estimates for core PCE, which was raised by a full percentage point to 3.4% for 2021.

Powell’s tone at the press conference was undeniably optimistic. He said indicators of activity and employment continue to improve, with the factors weighing on employment growth expected to wane in the coming months. He took time to downplay the slow improvements in the labor market, saying that it is clear we’re on a path to a very strong labor market one to two years out. As a result, “many participants are more comfortable” with the idea that “economic conditions” in their “forward guidance will be met somewhat sooner than previously anticipated.”

Powell even addressed taper. The Fed chair admitted that officials have begun “talking about talking about” slowing bond purchases even though tapering won’t happen until they “feel the economy has reached substantial progress.” “They’ll be able to say more about timing when they see” the data. Ten-year Treasury yields jumped 5%, reinforcing the rally in the U.S. dollar.

The question now is whether the U.S. dollar’s gains are sustainable. Given how long investors have been waiting for the central bank to talk taper and how uncertain it was as to whether it would happen today, we see further gains in the U.S. dollar. The Fed’s optimism is a reflection of its belief that economic data will continue to improve in the coming months. The Swiss Franc was hit the hardest by the rally in the U.S. dollar followed by the euro. The European Central Bank avoided taper talk at its last meeting and that decision weighed heavily on EUR/USD’s performance on Wednesday. The Swiss National Bank meets tomorrow and, like the ECB, no consequential changes are expected.

Zdroj Kathy Lien - Investing com

Že jsem bez pozice, byl jsem na poslední chvíli zvyklá zbyly jen oči pro pláč a čtvrtina současně potencionálního zisku možná nějaký zkušenosti z kterejch si vemu max tak velk...

Akorát vix shortuju vypadá to dobře ale nikdy nevíš :D  ale prostě zatím celkově fajn ale prostě to není ono :D something missing :/ dobrej postřeh to asi okouknu :D 

Konečně jsou pořádné pohyby a volatilita, na to jsme čekali přece dost dlouho.

Podobná situace je teď na USD/JPY (M15) do longu a na USD/CHF do sellu (M5). To znamená, že je někde chyba... prozatím.

Začátek týdne by mohl přinést částečnou korekci toho šíleného propadu z minulého týdne.

Vypadá to že se rýsuje na H1 hlava ramena..

Z H4 to vypadá up. Pozor, na D1 korekce downtrendu.

TF, H1

Adame taky taky cekam v podstate na to stejne, ale tak nejak muj vnitrni pocit mi rika ze se nedockame. 

Ted na 1.95 je retest prorazeni tredovky D1, a myslim ze to pujde dolu uz ted..., ale jelikoz jedu jen demo a sem zelenac tak snad se pletu.

Konsolidace pokračuje....